Matchday 5 of Ligue 1 between Marseille and PSG will take place on September 22 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
At the start of this season's championship, Marseille has struggled with consistency, alternating between big wins against lower-table teams and narrow defeats to clubs in the top six. Last week, Roberto De Zerbi's side thrashed Lorient, improving their league position to 7th in Ligue 1. This victory extended Marseille's home winning streak in the league to six matches, with the team scoring at least three goals in each of these games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 home games in Ligue 1.
- The club's uncompromising streak in this tournament has lasted for 6 matches (4 wins, 2 losses).
- Marseille has won with a handicap (+1.5) in their last 14 home matches in the league.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Geoffrey de Lange – Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina – Angel Gomes, Geoffrey Kondogbia – Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Timothy Weah – Amine Gouiri.
Defender CJ Egan-Riley has served his suspension, and another defender, Nayef Aguerd, might miss the game due to a concussion.
PSG
PSG remains the only team that has not dropped any points in the current Ligue 1 season. In the last round, the club comfortably defeated Lens (2-0), marking their sixth consecutive championship victory and becoming the sole leader of the table. Luis Enrique's side has scored in 24 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Meanwhile, PSG has conceded only 3 goals this season, sharing the best defensive record with four other clubs.
- PSG has not lost in 42 of their last 43 away league matches (33 wins, 9 draws).
- Both teams scored in 12 of the club's last 16 Ligue 1 games.
- PSG has scored at least 1 goal in their last 12 away matches in the tournament.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Luca Chevalier – Achraf Hakimi, Illya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez – Lee Kang-In, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Main forwards Ousmane Dembélé and Désiré Doué are unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Jerome Brisard (France)
Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 79;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 7;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 40%.
Match Prediction: Marseille vs. PSG
Marseille won both of their home matches in the current Ligue 1 season, scoring a total of 9 goals. Their home winning streak in the league has reached six matches. However, in derbies against PSG, the Velodrome has not been a fortress for Marseille, as they have not defeated their arch-rivals in 12 home league encounters, losing 9 of those and failing to score in the last 6.
PSG remains unbeaten in this season's championship. Notably, they have won 10 of their last 12 away Ligue 1 matches, with at least 3 goals scored in 9 of those games. In head-to-heads, at least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of the last 7 encounters, with PSG winning all 7.
After debuting in the Champions League, Marseille will have one extra day of rest, but they traveled to Spain, while PSG played at home, putting both teams on equal footing. In all other aspects, PSG holds the advantage. Prediction – PSG to win and Total over 2.5 goals