Marseille vs PSG: prediction & betting odds 22 September 2025

Matchday 5 of Ligue 1 between Marseille and PSG will take place on September 22 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Marseille

At the start of this season's championship, Marseille has struggled with consistency, alternating between big wins against lower-table teams and narrow defeats to clubs in the top six. Last week, Roberto De Zerbi's side thrashed Lorient, improving their league position to 7th in Ligue 1. This victory extended Marseille's home winning streak in the league to six matches, with the team scoring at least three goals in each of these games.

  • Both teams scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 home games in Ligue 1.
  • The club's uncompromising streak in this tournament has lasted for 6 matches (4 wins, 2 losses).
  • Marseille has won with a handicap (+1.5) in their last 14 home matches in the league.

Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)

Geoffrey de Lange – Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina – Angel Gomes, Geoffrey Kondogbia – Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Timothy Weah – Amine Gouiri.

Defender CJ Egan-Riley has served his suspension, and another defender, Nayef Aguerd, might miss the game due to a concussion.

PSG

PSG remains the only team that has not dropped any points in the current Ligue 1 season. In the last round, the club comfortably defeated Lens (2-0), marking their sixth consecutive championship victory and becoming the sole leader of the table. Luis Enrique's side has scored in 24 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Meanwhile, PSG has conceded only 3 goals this season, sharing the best defensive record with four other clubs.

  • PSG has not lost in 42 of their last 43 away league matches (33 wins, 9 draws).
  • Both teams scored in 12 of the club's last 16 Ligue 1 games.
  • PSG has scored at least 1 goal in their last 12 away matches in the tournament.

Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)

Luca Chevalier – Achraf Hakimi, Illya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez – Lee Kang-In, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Main forwards Ousmane Dembélé and Désiré Doué are unavailable due to injury.

Referee

Jerome Brisard (France)

Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 79;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 7;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 40%.

Match Prediction: Marseille vs. PSG

Marseille won both of their home matches in the current Ligue 1 season, scoring a total of 9 goals. Their home winning streak in the league has reached six matches. However, in derbies against PSG, the Velodrome has not been a fortress for Marseille, as they have not defeated their arch-rivals in 12 home league encounters, losing 9 of those and failing to score in the last 6.

PSG remains unbeaten in this season's championship. Notably, they have won 10 of their last 12 away Ligue 1 matches, with at least 3 goals scored in 9 of those games. In head-to-heads, at least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of the last 7 encounters, with PSG winning all 7.

After debuting in the Champions League, Marseille will have one extra day of rest, but they traveled to Spain, while PSG played at home, putting both teams on equal footing. In all other aspects, PSG holds the advantage. Prediction – PSG to win and Total over 2.5 goals

Marseille — PSG betting tips 22 September 2025

Le Classique arrives as early as Matchday 5, and the derby always captures attention across France. Paris Saint‑Germain have strengthened again, while Olympique de Marseille are still searching for cohesion. Marseille need to beat a team that have yet to drop a point this season.

Olympique de Marseille are stumbling in every competition. In Ligue 1 they already have two defeats in four matches, and in the Champions League they failed their sternest league‑phase test against Real Madrid. Their opponents won by the narrowest margin (2:1), and did so while playing with ten men. The French owed plenty to Gerónimo Rulli, unequivocally the standout performer: the goalkeeper prevented 1.74 PSxG.

At the start of the Champions League league phase, Paris Saint‑Germain swept aside Atalanta (4:0). Players from every line found the net, the only exception being the goalkeeper. The victory arrived even without the injured Ousmane Dembélé and Désiré Doué. They were clinical relative to their 3.48 xG. The team produced something similar in Ligue 1 against Toulouse (6:3).

Last season, Olympique de Marseille likewise failed to get within two goals (0:3, 1:3). It looks entirely reasonable to side with Paris Saint-Germain winning by two or more goals.

Betting prediction
Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5)
Cf
Odds
37/20
Bet now

Marseille vs PSG Odds

Current season

Logo Olympique Marseille Logo PSG
2 Wins 4
2 Lost 0
2.25 GF per game 2.5
1 GA per game 0.75
7.75 Corners per game 7.5
2.25 Yellow cards per game 0.5

Ligue 1: previous matches in the tournament

Marseille
12.09.25
Marseille
Lorient
W
31.08.25
Lyon
Marseille
L
23.08.25
Marseille
FC Paris
W
15.08.25
Rennes
Marseille
L
More matches
PSG
14.09.25
PSG
Lens
W
30.08.25
Toulouse
PSG
W
22.08.25
PSG
Angers
W
17.08.25
Nantes
PSG
W
More matches

H2H: Marseille — PSG

Ligue 1 2024-2025
16.03.25
PSG
Marseille
27.10.24
Marseille
PSG
Ligue 1 2023-2024
31.03.24
Marseille
PSG
24.09.23
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2022-2023
26.02.23
Marseille
PSG
French Cup 2022-2023
08.02.23
Marseille
PSG
Ligue 1 2022-2023
16.10.22
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2021-2022
17.04.22
PSG
Marseille
24.10.21
Marseille
PSG
Ligue 1 2020-2021
07.02.21
Marseille
PSG
Super cup France 2020
13.01.21
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2020-2021
13.09.20
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2019-2020
27.10.19
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2018-2019
17.03.19
PSG
Marseille
28.10.18
Marseille
PSG
French Cup 2017-2018
01.03.18
PSG
Marseille
3
:
0
Ligue 1 2017-2018
25.02.18
PSG
Marseille
22.10.17
Marseille
PSG
Ligue 1 2016-2017
26.02.17
Marseille
PSG
23.10.16
PSG
Marseille
French Cup 2015-2016
21.05.16
Marseille
PSG
2
:
4
Ligue 1 2015-2016
07.02.16
Marseille
PSG
04.10.15
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2014-2015
05.04.15
Marseille
PSG
09.11.14
PSG
Marseille
Ligue 1 2013-2014
01.03.14
PSG
Marseille
2
:
0
05.10.13
Marseille
PSG
1
:
2
French Cup 2012-2013
27.02.13
PSG
Marseille
2
:
0
Ligue 1 2012-2013
23.02.13
PSG
Marseille
2
:
0
Coupe de la Ligue French 2012-2013
31.10.12
PSG
Marseille
2
:
0
Ligue 1 2012-2013
06.10.12
Marseille
PSG
2
:
2
Ligue 1 2011-2012
07.04.12
PSG
Marseille
2
:
1
26.11.11
Marseille
PSG
3
:
0
Ligue 1 2010-2011
19.03.11
Marseille
PSG
2
:
1
06.11.10
PSG
Marseille
2
:
1
Ligue 1 2009-2010
27.02.10
PSG
Marseille
0
:
3
19.11.09
Marseille
PSG
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2008-2009
14.03.09
PSG
Marseille
1
:
3
25.10.08
Marseille
PSG
2
:
4
Ligue 1 2007-2008
16.02.08
Marseille
PSG
2
:
1
01.09.07
PSG
Marseille
1
:
1
Ligue 1 2006-2007
03.02.07
Marseille
PSG
1
:
1
09.09.06
PSG
Marseille
1
:
3
Ligue 1 2005-2006
04.03.06
PSG
Marseille
0
:
0
15.10.05
Marseille
PSG
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2004-2005
02.04.05
Marseille
PSG
1
:
1
06.11.04
PSG
Marseille
2
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2
Monaco
5 4 0 1 13:7 12
3
Lyon
5 4 0 1 7:3 12
4
Strasbourg
5 4 0 1 8:5 12
5
Lille
5 3 1 1 13:8 10
6
Lens
5 3 0 2 8:5 9
7
Rennes
5 2 2 1 7:8 8
8
Marseille
4 2 0 2 9:4 6
9
Toulouse
5 2 0 3 7:9 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 4:6 6
11
FC Paris
5 2 0 3 9:12 6
12
Nice
5 2 0 3 6:9 6
13
Angers
5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14
Brest
5 1 1 3 9:11 4
15
Le Havre
5 1 1 3 6:8 4
16
Nantes
5 1 1 3 3:5 4
17
Lorient
5 1 1 3 6:13 4
18
Metz
5 0 1 4 5:13 1
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Monaco
3 3 0 0 11:5 9
2
Lyon
3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3
PSG
2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4
Strasbourg
2 2 0 0 2:0 6
5
Lille
2 2 0 0 3:1 6
6
Lens
3 2 0 1 6:2 6
7
Rennes
2 2 0 0 4:1 6
8
Marseille
2 2 0 0 9:2 6
9
Auxerre
3 2 0 1 3:2 6
10
Nice
3 2 0 1 4:2 6
11
Angers
2 1 1 0 2:1 4
12
Brest
3 1 1 1 8:6 4
13
Le Havre
3 1 1 1 5:4 4
14
Nantes
3 1 1 1 3:3 4
15
Toulouse
2 1 0 1 5:6 3
16
FC Paris
2 1 0 1 5:5 3
17
Lorient
2 1 0 1 5:7 3
18
Metz
2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
PSG
2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2
Strasbourg
3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3
Lille
3 1 1 1 10:7 4
4
Monaco
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5
Lyon
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
6
Lens
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
7
Toulouse
3 1 0 2 2:3 3
8
FC Paris
3 1 0 2 4:7 3
9
Rennes
3 0 2 1 3:7 2
10
Angers
3 0 1 2 1:3 1
11
Lorient
3 0 1 2 1:6 1
12
Marseille
2 0 0 2 0:2 0
13
Auxerre
2 0 0 2 1:4 0
14
Nice
2 0 0 2 2:7 0
15
Brest
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16
Le Havre
2 0 0 2 1:4 0
17
Nantes
2 0 0 2 0:2 0
18
Metz
3 0 0 3 4:11 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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